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GIS Thoughts

Back to the future – State of the Industry 1999

So the end of 2006, the beginning of a new year, what will the next year of developments in the world of geographic information bring, are we seeing the birth of neogeography ? Rather than discuss this now I thought it would be more fun to go back to the future and look at some predictions I made back in 1999.

Mapping AwarenessMapping Awareness was the main UK GIS industry magazine throughout the 1990’s and it’s first issue of the year always carried an industry outlook feature, trying to get various predictions of the directions the industry was likely to follow, yes maybe navel gazing, but entertaining and something which continues today in GeoConnexion UK Magazine.

Thanks to the time machine that is Martins filling cabinet, the 1999 Mapping Awareness has fallen into my hands, and well I don’t think I did too badly in my predictions.

BTW Purple was very fashionable then (OK maybe not)

What are the most important trends for GIS and related products and services?

Technology convergence seems to be occurring throughout the GI and wider IT industry, as maturing technologies become integrated in “solution-based” systems. GPS is becoming the new must-have toy, but is a powerful tool when connected to desktop mapping and navigation packages. The boundary between CAD and GIS has finally disappeared; indeed many professionals use GIS technology without knowing it. Of course, perhaps the most important trend is the development of network-centric applications designed to operate across inter/intra/extranets.

OK so the CAD/GIS thing is still a problem… but network centric bit was right !!

What are the most important user/customer trends for GIS and related applications?

The “dumbing down of GIS” means that many of the current users of GIS have little or no geographical training, but are beginning to use GIS technology in the same way they might use Microsoft Excel. You don’t have to be an accountant to use Excel? The challenge for the GIS industry is for us to be able to say that you don’t need to be a geographer to use GIS. Users’ perception of the value of information is also changing. The Internet is an enormous source of low cost or free information. CD ROM dEd in 1998atabases such as Microsoft Encarta provide high-quality, accurate information, yet geographic data is still expensive and difficult to use.

To me this seems very relevant today, finally the web tools provided by Google, Microsoft etc are making this prediction come true and well the value of geodata is a pretty hot topic!

What segments of the geotechnology market will grow fastest during the next three years in the UK?

The markets that will grow fastest include Web GIS; navigation systems; handheld/palm-based GIS integrated with GPS; embedded GIS. such as the contact locator in Outlook 98; and consumer GIS packages, Low-cost/Low-functionality desktop GIS (e.g. Microsoft Mappoint).

OK a couple of years too soon, and the wrong platform, the web killed the low cost desktop GIS package.

I will not embarrass my fellow contributors my reproducing their predictions, none of us escape without some egg on the face..

Have a great New Years celebration and don’t forget to listen to the New Years Day Today programme on Radio 4 under the editorial control of a bunch of geographers !!

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
Apple Google Maps LBS Thoughts

What the iPhone might mean for LBS ?

According to almost everybody on the internet, at 10am PST on the 9th January next year, at the Moscone Center Steve Jobs will introduce the iPhone, perhaps one of the most anticipated products ever from Apple.

There is much speculation as to what the phone will look like and its functionality, and this tends to focus of the “ipodness” of the phone – to me what is interesting are two things is particular, the potential that the iPhone will be should SIM free and that it might contain as well as a camera a GPS.

Actually I think the fact that the iPhone is likely to be sold SIM free and not tied to a network contract is the most important part of the whole iPhone story, – If this does turn out to be the case it will a direct attack on the already crumbling “Walled Garden” model of the operators – a major deterrent in the development of LBS so far.
iphone
In the walled garden, you buy a phone at a subsided price from the network operator in return for a service contract, and less obviously a set of applications and services selected and controlled by the operator. So if you want to make use of a music download service, you must use the operators one, likewise want to use LBS then you the one the operator provides.

Of course it is possible to buy phones today SIM free, but the marketing behind Apple and the buzz the iphone will create will I believe shift the market more towards an “open” model, where greater innovation in LBS applications can take place. There is clear precedent for this, just think what the online market might look like if we where all still accessing the net through CompuServe or AOL’s or even Apples eWorld (Anybody else remember that ?) environments.

A couple of months ago there was much excitement when hackers noted the latest version of iPhoto suggested support for co-ordinate metadata to be attached to photos – now what if the source for the photo was the camera in a “smart” iPhone and the metadata came from an onboard GPS chip-set – again this could lead to a future potential market of tens of millions of LBS capable devices.

Well it has me excited !!

Written and submitted from the BA lounge at Heathrow airport, using the BT Openzone wifi broadband internet connection.

Categories
Thoughts

What a week !!!

Phew..

I am not going to comment on the wild rumours, speculation and conspiracy theories bouncing around the blogosphere relating to my departure from OS, instead I just want to say thank you for the many kind comments and best wishes posted here or via email, skype, phone calls etc.

I have been really moved by some of your comments and I very much appreciate people taking the time to write.

For me now I’m trying to concentrate on “business as usual” for the next few weeks… and then a bright new future begins

Thanks again everybody

ed

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS Thoughts

Time to move on..

The following is an agreed statement that was posted earlier today on the Ordnance Survey Intranet,

“Ed Parsons is leaving his post as Chief Technology Officer of Ordnance Survey to pursue new challenges in the increasingly dynamic Geographic Information (GI) Industry.

Since his arrival in June 2001, Ed has developed Ordnance Survey’s IT strategy and has led OS Research labs. Ed has been instrumental in moving the organisation’s focus from mapping to the creation of geographic information.

Ed is keen at this stage of his career to help develop more innovative areas of the GI industry. His decision comes as Ordnance Survey is focusing on a period of a consolidation in its strategic IT development and direction.

Vanessa Lawrence, Ordnance Survey’s Director General and Chief Executive, says “We wish Ed every success for the next stage of his career and offer him sincere thanks for his contribution to the direction of our IT development and research activities.”

For those of you who want to say goodbye to Ed personally his last working day will be Friday 22 December 2006.”

I am not is a position to add any more to this statement, but of course I am sorry to be leaving a great group of very committed GI professionals, the future for me is not completely clear at this point – but whatever it turns out to be, you will read it here as it happens !!

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS opensource Thoughts

OpenStreetMap and Mainstream GIS start dating..

The image below tells us quite a lot about own the GI industry is developing.

OpenStreetmap data and ITN

Click on the image for a full resolution screen-shot of openstreetmap (OSM) data and OS ITN data in Cadcorp‘s SIS desktop GIS, which can now import OSM XML.

What do we have here…

1. Cadcorp a progressive but mainstream GIS vendor supporting open source data!
2. OK, it is Isle of Wight data, where OSM has particularly good coverage, but as one can see community generated open source data is comparable geometrically with “professional” Ordnance Survey data.
3. OSM data lacks the rich attribution of Ordnance Survey (e.g. classification A road, B road, Minor, path etc), which will restrict its use in many applications, but which will still meet the needs of many.

The story the image does not illustrate are the difficult problems of keeping the data current, and completing national coverage, areas which will be future challenges for OSM.

As I have blogged before the “Traditional” GI industry is only slowly beginning to wake up to the potential of community generated geodata, so full marks to Martin Daly and Cadcorp for recognising the potential.

One day very soon, community generated geodata will sit side by side with commercial professionally produced data for many GIS applications – as of today that day is a little closer.

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS INSPIRE SDI Thoughts

INSPIRE Day – First impressions

INSPIRE

A number of press releases including those from the Commission, the Finnish Presidency Website and the European Parliament all provide limited detail as to the final text of the INSPIRE directive, which was agreed late yesterday as a result of a formal conciliation process.

Although the actual agreed text of the directive does not appear to be available yet, it appears that organisations like OS will continue to be able to charge for access to data with some restrictions. Organisations supplying spatial data should be able to “to license them to, and/or require payment from, the public authorities or institutions and bodies of the Community”, but such licenses “”must be fully compatible with the general aim of facilitating the sharing of spatial data” and “be kept to the minimum required to ensure the necessary quality and supply of spatial data sets and services together with a reasonable return on investment”.

I would caution anyone reading too much into these early reports, the devil will be in the detail here.. and we should also not forget that INSPIRE is about a lot more than the licensing regime.

From now on the technical experts can get on with drafting the principles around which the infra-structural components that will allow spatial data to be shared can be built- in my mind the really important part of INSPIRE

– the creation of metadata
– the technology of interoperability
– the development of data services
– mechanisms to promote national co-ordination.

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS opensource Thoughts

MapServer in the Enterprise

This evenings BCS Geospatial presentation by Jonathan Lowe of IBM was a real eye-opener for architects of Enterprise Geospatial systems. Jonathan is working on a large geospatial repository for DEFRA, a major government department.

We are talking about a major project here managing temporal spatial databases containing national coverage of OSMM and hundreds of other business layers in a Oracle Spatial database. As this is an IBM solution the platform is 64-bit AIX and the application server WebSphere.. and here was the challenge –

What is the only web mapping application that will run in a 64-bit JVM – MapServer

Open Source GIS tools really are mainstream ready !!

A great presentation by Jonathan, if ever you want to understand life in Government IT, you can’t go wrong with Jonathan’s choice of Terry Gilliams film Brazil.

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS Thoughts

Worldmapper: cartograms online

air travel map

Worldmapper a site devloped by a group of academics led by Danny Dorling is a great example of the power of maps or is this case cartograms to communicate information. With the current interest in global inequalities, a map such as the one above showing air travel delivers a very strong message.

Look at the relative size of the UK, the area represents all those easyJet and Ryanair flights we have grown to love so much…

Written and submitted from home, using my home 802.11 network.

Categories
GIS Thoughts

Where small is beautiful..

Today I made the keynote presentation to the Jersey GIS User Conference, organised by Digimap (an Ordnance Survey partner) and the States of Jersey Government, who together are really driving forward the use of Geographic Information.

Jersey

Much like OS Mastermap, Jersey now has a complete intelligent feature based geospatial database, with high levels of currency and consistency. Again like Great Britain, there is an active GPS framework network providing centimetre accuracy positioning.

In contrast to the rest of the UK, Jersey with a single layer of government, has just got on a built a single land and property address database which is widely adopted and has become the standard for government use.

Half of the possible 8000 government employees access the sole corporate geospatial Intranet and on the sister Island of Guernsey the utilities companies are beginning to publish their assets to single password protected website.

None of these things are technically difficult to do, but the contrast with the UK is interesting – this really is the case of the relatively small size of the channel islands and simpler organisational structures making the exploitation of Geographic Information much quicker to deliver benefits.

Written and submitted from the Hotel L’Horizon, Jersey, using the hotels wifi broadband internet connection.

Categories
GIS Thoughts web 2.0

Openspace.. and other mash up catch ups !!

I can’t believe it’s nearly a month since the UK Mash-up event, I have literally not had a chance to stop and catch my thoughts about the event. It was technically interesting and I think it had quite a big impact on some of the OS staff who attended, who for the first time in some cases, were exposed to the “non-professional” GI community.

openspace

OS announced our Openspace project, which hopefully we will be able to release in the near future subject to legal and licensing concerns. The Openstreetmap team demonstrated it’s first commercial application of its data with the Nestoria home finding site, best mash-up of the day was the real time train map developed by Matthew Somerville of mySociety.

As pointed out by Jo much of the afternoon debate facilitated by Peter Cochrane focused on the big topic of business models and data licensing issues. Well I guess my views of licensing are well known, simply put… “somebody has to pay !!”

The business model question is more interesting..

Other thans Google’s clear advertising model of today it is not clear how others will make profits or even cover their costs. I made the point however that this might not be as big a problem as it might seem, successful business models will either emerge or the phenomenon will disappear as an unsustainable activity brought into brief existence by the development of web 2.0 technologies.

These technologies and their impact on how systems are developed, and the close relationships with users established, will survive however… whatever else happens as an industry we can ignore user generated content no longer.

Written and submitted from the City Inn Express, Birmingham, using the hotels free (yes free!!) broadband internet connection.